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For consumers outside the US, the dollar surge exacerbated the widespread cost-of-living crisis as imports for essential goods became expensive. This came In combination with already high inflation in most countries resulting from the food and energy supply shock tied to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
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However, given the bearish euro-to-dollar forecast in 2022—along with a dire European economic outlook—more weakness appears more likely. Consider that forecasts is usually revised if economic numbers or central bank policy thwarts market expectations.
This was mostly driven by a deteriorating economic outlook amid surging inflation and rising geopolitical tensions following Russia’s invasion of visit Ukraine.
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The US dollar has eased from its peak level, but exchange rate volatility will remain elevated in 2023 about the back of global macroeconomic uncertainty
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